AFC Leopards 65%Draw 25%Mombasa Elite 11%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.35
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win65% · @1.44
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw89% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals66% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–025% · fair 4.02
AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Saturday 14 November: AFC Leopards v Mombasa Elite in the FKF Premier League. In the table, AFC Leopards are 3rd, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; Mombasa Elite are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
AFC Leopards, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with 3K, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Mombasa Elite, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shabana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Mombasa Elite.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Leopards 1.3 xG, Mombasa Elite 0.3 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Leopards 65%, draw 25%, Mombasa Elite 11%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.56.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Leopards 1–0 Mombasa Elite. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Leopards65%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.60
Mombasa Elite11%fair 9.42 · @7.20
1.66Expected goals
1.31AFC Leopards xG
0.35Mombasa Elite xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.3 – 0.3 Mombasa Elite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Leopards
Mombasa Elite
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-12%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-46%
+45%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.46
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win
65%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
AFC Leopards or draw
89%
1.12
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.56
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
AFC Leopards -0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
25%
4.02
–
Recent results
AFC Leopards – last 6
DDDWDW
7 Nov
@ 3K
0–0
D
28 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Shabana
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Kenya Police
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Bandari
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs Homeboyz
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mombasa Elite – last 6
LLLLLW
7 Nov
vs Shabana
2–3
L
28 Oct
@ KCB
1–3
L
19 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
14 Oct
vs Homeboyz
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Migori Youth
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Mombasa Elite.
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mombasa Elite 11%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Mombasa Elite, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
