Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.26 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUlinzi Stars to win35% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.26
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 14.92
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Ulinzi Stars v Migori Youth in the FKF Premier League. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Migori Youth are 12th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Murang'a SEAL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Migori Youth, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mara Sugar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 1.0 xG, Migori Youth 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 35%, draw 30%, Migori Youth 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.26.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (58%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Migori Youth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars35%fair 2.83 · @2.55
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.82
Migori Youth34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
1.91Expected goals
0.99Ulinzi Stars xG
0.92Migori Youth xG
51%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.0 – 0.9 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ulinzi Stars
Migori Youth
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.84
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win
35%
2.83
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.26 ▲
Draw no bet
Ulinzi Stars (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Migori Youth +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Ulinzi Stars to score first
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
14.92
–
Recent results
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
DLDLWD
8 Nov
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–2
D
29 Oct
@ Kenya Police
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Tusker
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs Mathare United
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
LDDWDD
7 Nov
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Shabana
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Police
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Mathare United
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Migori Youth 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
