St. Andrews 25%Draw 14%Mgarr United 61%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.70
61%
Betarazi pick
Mgarr United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultMgarr United to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mgarr United travel to face St. Andrews on Saturday 17 October in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, St. Andrews are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; Mgarr United are 7th (upper half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
St. Andrews, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gudja United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mgarr United, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vittoriosa Stars, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Mgarr United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for St. Andrews.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Andrews 0.9 xG, Mgarr United 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Andrews 25%, draw 14%, Mgarr United 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mgarr United to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Andrews 0–1 Mgarr United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Andrews25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @3.50
Mgarr United61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
2.61Expected goals
0.91St. Andrews xG
1.70Mgarr United xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: St. Andrews 0.9 – 1.7 Mgarr United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mgarr United to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Mgarr United (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
St. Andrews +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Mgarr United to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mgarr United / FT Mgarr United✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.01
–
Recent results
St. Andrews – last 6
WDLLLL
11 Oct
@ Gudja United
1–0
W
18 Sep
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Victoria Hotspurs
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Brechin
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Birzebbuga
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fgura United
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mgarr United – last 6
WWLDDW
10 Oct
vs Vittoriosa Stars
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Melita
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Tarxien Rainbows
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Mtarfa
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Andrews and Mgarr United.
What is the prediction for St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
Our pick is Mgarr United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
On our numbers St. Andrews have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Mgarr United 61%.
How many goals will there be in St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
Our predicted score is St. Andrews 0–1 Mgarr United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
