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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zurrieq v Gudja United: numbers & prediction

Zurrieq

DLLWD
1–0
FT
Zurrieq 50%Draw 21%Gudja United 29% Expected goals 1.39 – 0.97
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultZurrieq to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.64

Zurrieq vs Gudja United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gudja United travel to face Zurrieq on Saturday 17 October in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zurrieq are 8th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Gudja United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 0.

Current form

Zurrieq, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Lucía, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Gudja United, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to St. Andrews, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Gudja United 0–3 Zurrieq.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zurrieq 1.4 xG, Gudja United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zurrieq 50%, draw 21%, Gudja United 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zurrieq 1–0 Gudja United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zurrieq50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Gudja United29%fair 3.42 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.39Zurrieq xG
0.97Gudja United xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Zurrieq 1.4 – 1.0 Gudja United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZurrieq to win ✓50%2.012.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betZurrieq (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapGudja United +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreZurrieq to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zurrieq / FT Zurrieq ✓27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.64–

Recent results

Zurrieq – last 6

DLLWDD
11 Oct@ Santa Lucía1–1D
19 Sepvs Victoria Hotspurs1–2L
12 Sep@ Sirens0–1L
1 Aprvs Marsa2–1W
15 Marvs Zebbug Rangers3–3D
4 Marvs Naxxar Lions1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gudja United – last 6

LLLWDL
11 Octvs St. Andrews0–1L
19 Sep@ Vittoriosa Stars0–2L
13 Sepvs Melita0–3L
15 Marvs Mtarfa3–0W
8 Mar@ Marsa3–3D
21 Febvs Zurrieq0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Gudja United v Zurrieq0–3
Zurrieq vs Gudja United head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows7610+919
2Swieqi United7511+516
3Naxxar Lions7511+516
4Fgura United7430+915
5Melita7412+513
6Pietà Hotspurs7403+212
7Mgarr United7313+110
8Zurrieq7313010
9Sirens7214-47
10Zebbug Rangers7214-67
11St. Andrews7214-77
12Attard7133-16
13Santa Lucía7061-26
14Vittoriosa Stars7133-36
15Victoria Hotspurs7205-36
16Gudja United7007-100

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zurrieq vs Gudja United?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Zurrieq vs Gudja United?

On our numbers Zurrieq have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gudja United 29%.

How many goals will there be in Zurrieq vs Gudja United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zurrieq vs Gudja United?

Our predicted score is Zurrieq 1–0 Gudja United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zurrieq vs Gudja United?

Zurrieq vs Gudja United (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.