Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
2
Value bet: Phnom Penh Crown to win @ 2.95 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhnom Penh Crown to win ✗43% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Phnom Penh Crown travel to face Kitchee on Thursday 5 November in the AFC Cup, with Mong Kok Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kitchee are 2nd on 5 points after 4 matches; Phnom Penh Crown are 1st with 9.
Current form
Kitchee, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Phnom Penh Crown, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Phnom Penh Crown, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kompong Dewa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Phnom Penh Crown, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Kitchee.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Phnom Penh Crown 2–0 Kitchee.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kitchee 1.2 xG, Phnom Penh Crown 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kitchee 36%, draw 21%, Phnom Penh Crown 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.39.
Price worth noting: Phnom Penh Crown to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.64 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitchee 1–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kitchee36%fair 2.78 · @2.06
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Phnom Penh Crown43%fair 2.34 · @2.95
2.63Expected goals
1.24Kitchee xG
1.39Phnom Penh Crown xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kitchee 1.2 – 1.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Kitchee have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phnom Penh Crown 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Kitchee 1–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mong Kok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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