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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Home United v Adelaide United: numbers & prediction

AFC Cup · Asia · Jalan Besar Stadium
5–0
FT
Home United 67%Draw 18%Adelaide United 15% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.76
67%
Betarazi pick

Home United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.51Odds

Picks by market

ResultHome United to win ✓67% · @1.51
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Home United vs Adelaide United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Adelaide United travel to face Home United on Thursday 5 November in the AFC Cup, with Jalan Besar Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Home United are 1st on 10 points after 4 matches; Adelaide United are 3rd with 6.

Current form

Home United, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Balestier Khalsa, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Adelaide United, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Perth Glory, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Home United, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Adelaide United.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Adelaide United 0–2 Home United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Home United 2.0 xG, Adelaide United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Home United 67%, draw 18%, Adelaide United 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Home United to win (67%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Home United 1–0 Adelaide United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Home United67%fair 1.48 · @1.51
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.15
Adelaide United15%fair 6.80 · @4.65
2.74Expected goals
1.98Home United xG
0.76Adelaide United xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Home United 2.0 – 0.8 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHome United to win ✓67%1.481.51
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓85%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.50
Draw no betHome United (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapHome United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
First team to scoreHome United to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultHome United ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Home United / FT Home United ✓42%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Home United – last 6

WWWWWW
1 Nov@ Balestier Khalsa4–0W
29 Oct@ Adelaide United2–0W
25 Octvs Tanjong Pagar6–0W
18 Oct@ Albirex Niigata S2–0W
15 Oct@ Wofoo Tai Po1–0W
11 Octvs Young Lions6–1W
3.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Adelaide United – last 6

LLLWWL
1 Nov@ Perth Glory0–4L
29 Octvs Home United0–2L
25 Oct@ Sydney1–2L
15 Oct@ BG Pathum United2–1W
3 Oct@ Perth Glory3–1W
27 Sep@ Perth Glory0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Adelaide United v Home United0–2
Home United vs Adelaide United head-to-head page →

AFC Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Home United4310+810
2BG Pathum United4211+57
3Adelaide United4202-36
4Wofoo Tai Po4004-100

More AFC Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Home United vs Adelaide United?

Our pick is Home United to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win Home United vs Adelaide United?

On our numbers Home United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Adelaide United 15%.

How many goals will there be in Home United vs Adelaide United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Home United vs Adelaide United?

Our predicted score is Home United 1–0 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Home United vs Adelaide United?

Home United vs Adelaide United (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.