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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BG Pathum United v Wofoo Tai Po: numbers & prediction

AFC Cup · Asia · True BG Stadium
4–1
FT
BG Pathum United 70%Draw 20%Wofoo Tai Po 10% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.70
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.54 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.54Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.12 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓70% · @1.15
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.12
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BG Pathum United welcome Wofoo Tai Po to True BG Stadium for a AFC Cup fixture on Thursday 5 November (13:15 WAT). In the table, BG Pathum United are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Wofoo Tai Po are 4th with 0.

Current form

BG Pathum United, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chonburi FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Wofoo Tai Po, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to BG Pathum United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Wofoo Tai Po, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for BG Pathum United.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Wofoo Tai Po 0–3 BG Pathum United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 2.1 xG, Wofoo Tai Po 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 70%, draw 20%, Wofoo Tai Po 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.12.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 2–0 Wofoo Tai Po. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BG Pathum United70%fair 1.44 · @1.15
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @5.70
Wofoo Tai Po10%fair 9.87 · @13.50
2.82Expected goals
2.12BG Pathum United xG
0.70Wofoo Tai Po xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: BG Pathum United 2.1 – 0.7 Wofoo Tai Po expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBG Pathum United to win ✓70%1.441.15
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.12 ▲
Draw no betBG Pathum United (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapBG Pathum United -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.54
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.241.18
First team to scoreBG Pathum United to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultBG Pathum United ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

BG Pathum United – last 6

LWWLDL
2 Nov@ Chonburi FC0–1L
29 Oct@ Wofoo Tai Po3–0W
24 Octvs Chiangrai United2–0W
21 Oct@ Khon Kaen United0–1L
18 Oct@ Sisaket United1–1D
15 Octvs Adelaide United1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wofoo Tai Po – last 6

LWWLDW
29 Octvs BG Pathum United0–3L
24 Octvs Kitchee4–2W
19 Octvs Southern District4–2W
15 Octvs Home United0–1L
10 Octvs Kowloon City1–1D
4 Oct@ BC Rangers3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Wofoo Tai Po v BG Pathum United0–3
BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po head-to-head page →

AFC Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Home United4310+810
2BG Pathum United4211+57
3Adelaide United4202-36
4Wofoo Tai Po4004-100

More AFC Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?

On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wofoo Tai Po 10%.

How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 2–0 Wofoo Tai Po, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?

BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.