Xankəndi FK 18%Draw 26%Şahdağ 56%Expected goals 1.01 – 1.87
82%
Betarazi pick
Şahdağ or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Şahdağ to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultŞahdağ to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Birinci Dasta brings Xankəndi FK against Şahdağ. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Xankəndi FK are 7th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Şahdağ are 2nd (among the top four) with 15.
Current form
Xankəndi FK, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şimal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Şahdağ, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Zaqatala, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Şahdağ, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Xankəndi FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xankəndi FK 1.0 xG, Şahdağ 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xankəndi FK 18%, draw 26%, Şahdağ 56%.
Lower-risk option: Şahdağ or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Şahdağ to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şahdağ or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xankəndi FK 1–1 Şahdağ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xankəndi FK18%fair 5.51 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Şahdağ56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
2.88Expected goals
1.01Xankəndi FK xG
1.87Şahdağ xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 1.0 – 1.9 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şahdağ to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Şahdağ or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Şahdağ (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Xankəndi FK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Şahdağ to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Şahdağ ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Xankəndi FK – last 4
DLLD
9 Oct
@ Şimal
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs MOIK
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Səbail
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Şahdağ – last 6
WWWWDW
7 Oct
vs Zaqatala
6–0
W
17 Sep
@ Şimal
4–1
W
9 Sep
vs Karvan
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ MOIK
1–0
W
22 May
vs Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
5 May
vs Mingəçevir
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Şahdağ.
Our pick is Şahdağ or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Şahdağ 56%.
How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 1–1 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
