Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultŞimal to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Mingəçevir vs Şimal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Mingəçevir v Şimal in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Mingəçevir are 9th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 6 matches; Şimal are 6th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Mingəçevir, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to MOIK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Şimal, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Xankəndi FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Şimal, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mingəçevir.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Şimal 0–3 Mingəçevir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mingəçevir 1.5 xG, Şimal 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mingəçevir 35%, draw 20%, Şimal 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mingəçevir 1–1 Şimal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mingəçevir35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Şimal45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
3.13Expected goals
1.46Mingəçevir xG
1.67Şimal xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mingəçevir 1.5 – 1.7 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Şimal 45%.
How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 1–1 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Mingəçevir vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
