Zaqatala 15%Draw 17%Səbail 67%Expected goals 0.87 – 2.13
67%
Betarazi pick
Səbail to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.70 – our chance 50% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSəbail to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Zaqatala vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Səbail travel to face Zaqatala on Thursday 15 October in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Zaqatala are 8th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Zaqatala, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Şahdağ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Səbail, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Karvan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Zaqatala.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Zaqatala 0–3 Səbail.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zaqatala 0.9 xG, Səbail 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zaqatala 15%, draw 17%, Səbail 67%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.70.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (67%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zaqatala15%fair 6.58 · @11.00
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @5.00
Səbail67%fair 1.48 · @1.20
3.00Expected goals
0.87Zaqatala xG
2.13Səbail xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Zaqatala 0.9 – 2.1 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zaqatala vs Səbail?
On our numbers Zaqatala have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Səbail 67%.
How many goals will there be in Zaqatala vs Səbail?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Zaqatala vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
