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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerro Porteno v Sportivo Ameliano: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
2–2
FT
Cerro Porteno 66%Draw 21%Sportivo Ameliano 13% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.55
66%
Betarazi pick

Cerro Porteno to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Ameliano travel to face Cerro Porteno on Sunday 18 October in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio General Pablo Rojas the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro Porteno are 7th, lower half, on 28 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Ameliano are 9th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Cerro Porteno, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 2 de Mayo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 Cerro Porteno. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cerro Porteno 1 win, Sportivo Ameliano 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.7 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 66%, draw 21%, Sportivo Ameliano 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cerro Porteno or draw (87%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cerro Porteno to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro Porteno66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Sportivo Ameliano13%fair 7.89 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.70Cerro Porteno xG
0.55Sportivo Ameliano xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.7 – 0.6 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro Porteno to win ✗66%1.511.62 ▲
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓87%1.151.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.811.83
Draw no betCerro Porteno (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapCerro Porteno -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreCerro Porteno to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultCerro Porteno ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.60–

Recent results

Cerro Porteno – last 6

DWLWLW
14 Octvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–2D
10 Oct@ Sportivo Luqueno3–0W
5 Octvs 2 de Mayo0–2L
30 Sepvs Rubio NU2–1W
26 Sep@ Sportivo Trinidense1–2L
19 Sepvs Rubio NU1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

LLDDWW
12 Oct@ 2 de Mayo0–1L
6 Octvs Rubio NU1–2L
25 Sep@ Nacional Asuncion1–1D
19 Sep@ Libertad Asuncion1–1D
11 Sepvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0W
6 Sep@ Sportivo Luqueno2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Sportivo Ameliano v Cerro Porteno1–0
25 Apr 2026Cerro Porteno v Sportivo Ameliano1–1
25 Feb 2026Sportivo Ameliano v Cerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our pick is Cerro Porteno to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sportivo Ameliano 13%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.