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Sportivo Trinidense v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Sportivo Trinidense 36%Draw 23%Libertad Asuncion 41% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.44
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:20 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Sportivo Trinidense v Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Martin Torres. In the table, Sportivo Trinidense are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club Guarani, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Aug 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 2–1 Sportivo Trinidense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Trinidense 0 wins, Libertad Asuncion 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 36%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Trinidense36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Libertad Asuncion41%fair 2.42 · @2.40
2.75Expected goals
1.31Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.44Libertad Asuncion xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 – 1.4 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗41%2.422.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.75
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.53–

Recent results

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

DWWLWL
10 Oct@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
5 Octvs Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
26 Sepvs Cerro Porteno2–1W
18 Sepvs Club Guarani0–1L
12 Sep@ Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
6 Sepvs Olimpia1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

DWLDDW
11 Octvs Club Guarani2–2D
5 Oct@ Deportivo Recoleta2–1W
28 Sepvs Olimpia0–1L
23 Sep@ Fernando De La Mora1–1D
19 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
11 Sep@ 2 de Mayo2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Aug 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense2–1
13 Apr 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense1–1
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad Asuncion 41%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.