Sportivo Luqueno 62%Draw 23%Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.71
85%
Betarazi pick
Sportivo Luqueno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Luqueno to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceSportivo Luqueno or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Division Profesional Clausura brings Sportivo Luqueno against Club Sp. San Lorenzo at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. Kick-off: 23:20 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Luqueno are 8th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cerro Porteno, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Club Sp. San Lorenzo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sportivo Luqueno.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–2 Sportivo Luqueno. The last 3 head-to-heads: Sportivo Luqueno 1 win, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.7 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 62%, draw 23%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Luqueno or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Luqueno to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sportivo Luqueno or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Luqueno62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.30
Club Sp. San Lorenzo15%fair 6.83 · @4.00
2.46Expected goals
1.75Sportivo Luqueno xG
0.71Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.7 – 0.7 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Sportivo Luqueno or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
