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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Recoleta v Sportivo Ameliano: numbers & prediction

Deportivo Recoleta 38%Draw 23%Sportivo Ameliano 39% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.33
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Recoleta welcome Sportivo Ameliano for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Saturday 31 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Recoleta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Ameliano are 9th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Luqueno, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Olimpia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Recoleta, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Sportivo Ameliano.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 3–1 Deportivo Recoleta. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo Recoleta 0 wins, Sportivo Ameliano 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 38%, draw 23%, Sportivo Ameliano 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Recoleta to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Recoleta38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
Sportivo Ameliano39%fair 2.54 · @2.38
2.63Expected goals
1.30Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.33Sportivo Ameliano xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 – 1.3 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Ameliano to win ✗39%2.542.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.631.62
Draw no betSportivo Ameliano (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapDeportivo Recoleta +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSportivo Ameliano to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.06–

Recent results

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

WDWLLD
28 Oct@ Sportivo Luqueno2–0W
24 Oct@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
16 Octvs Rubio NU1–0W
12 Oct@ Nacional Asuncion0–1L
5 Octvs Libertad Asuncion1–2L
28 Sep@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

LDLLDD
25 Octvs Olimpia2–3L
18 Oct@ Cerro Porteno2–2D
12 Oct@ 2 de Mayo0–1L
6 Octvs Rubio NU1–2L
25 Sep@ Nacional Asuncion1–1D
19 Sep@ Libertad Asuncion1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Sportivo Ameliano v Deportivo Recoleta3–1
11 May 2026Sportivo Ameliano v Deportivo Recoleta3–2
10 Mar 2026Deportivo Recoleta v Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Ameliano 39%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.