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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Luqueno v Nacional Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Sportivo Luqueno 21%Draw 23%Nacional Asuncion 56% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.61
79%
Betarazi pick

Nacional Asuncion or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.35

Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Division Profesional Clausura brings Sportivo Luqueno against Nacional Asuncion. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Luqueno are 8th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Recoleta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Nacional Asuncion, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Trinidense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Sportivo Luqueno.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Luqueno 0 wins, Nacional Asuncion 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 0.9 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 21%, draw 23%, Nacional Asuncion 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nacional Asuncion or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Luqueno21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Nacional Asuncion56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
2.47Expected goals
0.86Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.61Nacional Asuncion xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 0.9 – 1.6 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✓56%1.781.85
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.91
Draw no betNacional Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapSportivo Luqueno +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreNacional Asuncion to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✓34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.35–

Recent results

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

LLWLLD
28 Octvs Deportivo Recoleta0–2L
23 Oct@ Libertad Asuncion0–1L
18 Octvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–2W
10 Octvs Cerro Porteno0–3L
5 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense2–3L
1 Oct@ Olimpia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

LWWDDD
24 Octvs Sportivo Trinidense0–1L
17 Oct@ Club Guarani2–0W
12 Octvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
6 Oct@ Olimpia1–1D
30 Sep@ Independiente F.b.c.2–2D
25 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Aug 2026Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno2–0
27 Mar 2026Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno3–2
Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Our pick is Nacional Asuncion or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional Asuncion 56%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.