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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%Draw 22%Libertad Asuncion 62% Expected goals 0.72 – 1.72
62%
Betarazi pick

Libertad Asuncion to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Libertad Asuncion travel to face Club Sp. San Lorenzo on Saturday 31 October in the Division Profesional Clausura – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Independiente F.b.c., at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The last 3 head-to-heads: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0 wins, Libertad Asuncion 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.7 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Sp. San Lorenzo16%fair 6.21 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
Libertad Asuncion62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
2.44Expected goals
0.72Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.72Libertad Asuncion xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%

From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.7 – 1.7 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗62%1.611.44
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✗84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.80
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultLibertad Asuncion ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

LLDDDD
25 Octvs Cerro Porteno1–3L
18 Oct@ Sportivo Luqueno2–3L
14 Oct@ Cerro Porteno2–2D
10 Octvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
3 Oct@ Club Guarani1–1D
28 Sepvs Deportivo Recoleta0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

WWLDWL
27 Octvs Independiente F.b.c.3–1W
23 Octvs Sportivo Luqueno1–0W
18 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense0–1L
11 Octvs Club Guarani2–2D
5 Oct@ Deportivo Recoleta2–1W
28 Sepvs Olimpia0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Aug 2026Libertad Asuncion v Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0
2 May 2026Libertad Asuncion v Club Sp. San Lorenzo5–0
3 Mar 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Libertad Asuncion0–7
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad Asuncion 62%.

How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.