Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.50
Double chanceGoa or draw ✗75% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.50
Goa vs Regar-TadAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:25 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Goa v Regar-TadAZ in the AFC Challenge League, played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Current form
Goa, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chennaiyin, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Regar-TadAZ, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Barki Tajik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Regar-TadAZ, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Goa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goa 1.5 xG, Regar-TadAZ 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goa 25%, draw 50%, Regar-TadAZ 25%.
Lower-risk option: Goa or draw (75%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Goa or draw (75%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goa 1–1 Regar-TadAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goa25%fair 3.96 · @2.38
Draw50%fair 2.00 · @3.50
Regar-TadAZ25%fair 4.04 · @2.45
2.89Expected goals
1.45Goa xG
1.44Regar-TadAZ xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Goa 1.5 – 1.4 Regar-TadAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
50%
2.00
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Goa or draw✗
75%
1.33
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Goa (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Regar-TadAZ +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Goa to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goa / FT Goa✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
16.50
–
Recent results
Goa – last 6
DLLDLW
10 Oct
vs Chennaiyin
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Arkadag
0–3
L
18 May
@ Kerala Blasters
1–2
L
9 May
vs ATK Mohun Bagan
1–1
D
1 May
@ Jamshedpur
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ NorthEast United
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Regar-TadAZ – last 6
WWDLWW
10 Oct
vs Barki Tajik
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Khatlon
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Khujand
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Khosilot Farkhor
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Parvoz
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Maziya
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goa and Regar-TadAZ.
Our pick is Goa or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
On our numbers Goa have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Regar-TadAZ 25%.
How many goals will there be in Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
Our predicted score is Goa 1–1 Regar-TadAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
Goa vs Regar-TadAZ (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:25 (West Africa Time) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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