Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBugesera to win ✓47% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.35
Bugesera vs Amagaju: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 November the National Soccer League brings Bugesera against Amagaju. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Bugesera are 8th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Amagaju are 13th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bugesera, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Police, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Amagaju, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Musanze, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bugesera, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Amagaju.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Bugesera 0–0 Amagaju.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bugesera 1.2 xG, Amagaju 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bugesera 47%, draw 24%, Amagaju 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bugesera 1–0 Amagaju. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bugesera47%fair 2.12 · @2.04
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.93
Amagaju29%fair 3.48 · @3.44
2.11Expected goals
1.24Bugesera xG
0.87Amagaju xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bugesera 1.2 – 0.9 Amagaju expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Bugesera vs Amagaju?
On our numbers Bugesera have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amagaju 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bugesera vs Amagaju?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bugesera vs Amagaju?
Our predicted score is Bugesera 1–0 Amagaju, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bugesera vs Amagaju?
Bugesera vs Amagaju (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
