Etoile de l'Est 32%Draw 25%Musanze 44%Expected goals 0.90 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMusanze to win ✗44% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.29
Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Etoile de l'Est welcome Musanze for a National Soccer League fixture on Wednesday 4 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Etoile de l'Est are 14th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Musanze are 9th (upper half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Etoile de l'Est, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gorilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Musanze, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Amagaju, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Musanze, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Etoile de l'Est.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Etoile de l'Est 0.9 xG, Musanze 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Etoile de l'Est 32%, draw 25%, Musanze 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.09.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Etoile de l'Est 0–1 Musanze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Etoile de l'Est32%fair 3.15 · @2.83
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.82
Musanze44%fair 2.29 · @2.41
2.03Expected goals
0.90Etoile de l'Est xG
1.13Musanze xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Etoile de l'Est 0.9 – 1.1 Musanze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Musanze to win✗
44%
2.29
2.41 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
Musanze (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Etoile de l'Est +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Musanze to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Musanze / FT Musanze✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.29
–
Recent results
Etoile de l'Est – last 6
DDDLLD
31 Oct
vs Gorilla
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Sunrise
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Mukura
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Al Merreikh
0–3
L
15 Sep
vs Gicumbi
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs AS Kigali
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Musanze – last 6
WWLLLW
31 Oct
@ Amagaju
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Police
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Rayon Sports
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Gasogi United
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Etincelles
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Kiyovu Sports
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etoile de l'Est and Musanze.
What is the prediction for Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
On our numbers Etoile de l'Est have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Musanze 44%.
How many goals will there be in Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Our predicted score is Etoile de l'Est 0–1 Musanze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
