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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Etincelles v Kiyovu Sports: numbers & prediction

National Soccer League · Rwanda · Umuganda Stadium
0–1
FT
Etincelles 27%Draw 24%Kiyovu Sports 49% Expected goals 0.67 – 1.08
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.41Odds

Picks by market

ResultKiyovu Sports to win ✓49% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.32

Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kiyovu Sports travel to face Etincelles on Wednesday 4 November in the National Soccer League, with Umuganda Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Etincelles are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 7 matches; Kiyovu Sports are 6th (upper half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Etincelles, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to APR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kiyovu Sports, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AS Kigali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Etincelles 0–0 Kiyovu Sports.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Etincelles 0.7 xG, Kiyovu Sports 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Etincelles 27%, draw 24%, Kiyovu Sports 49%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.59.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Etincelles 0–1 Kiyovu Sports. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Etincelles27%fair 3.75 · @3.24
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.91
Kiyovu Sports49%fair 2.04 · @2.13
1.75Expected goals
0.67Etincelles xG
1.08Kiyovu Sports xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%

From our goals model: Etincelles 0.7 – 1.1 Kiyovu Sports expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKiyovu Sports to win ✓49%2.042.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.29
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.59
Draw no betKiyovu Sports (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapEtincelles +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.771.51
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreKiyovu Sports to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kiyovu Sports / FT Kiyovu Sports ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19%5.32–

Recent results

Etincelles – last 6

LLLWWD
31 Octvs APR0–2L
17 Octvs Marines0–4L
10 Oct@ Bugesera0–2L
15 Sepvs Musanze1–0W
12 Sep@ Gorilla1–0W
5 Sepvs Sunrise0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Kiyovu Sports – last 6

WDWLLD
30 Octvs AS Kigali2–0W
10 Oct@ Marines0–0D
15 Sepvs Bugesera1–0W
11 Sep@ Musanze0–1L
5 Sepvs Gorilla0–1L
29 May@ Rayon Sports1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Etincelles v Kiyovu Sports0–0
Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports head-to-head page →

National Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Marines8422+714
2Gicumbi7412+213
3Mukura7331+312
4Gorilla8332+112
5Al Hilal Omdurman5311+210
6Kiyovu Sports6312+210
7Al Merreikh5230+49
8Bugesera6303+29
9Musanze7304-29
10Sunrise8161-39
11Rayon Sports5221+38
12APR3210+47
13Amagaju821507
14Etoile de l'Est8143-47
15Police8215-47
16Gasogi United8143-57
17Etincelles7214-77
18AS Kigali6123-55

More National Soccer League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?

On our numbers Etincelles have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kiyovu Sports 49%.

How many goals will there be in Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?

Our predicted score is Etincelles 0–1 Kiyovu Sports, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?

Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuganda Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.