Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC UFA to win ✗66% · @1.59
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✗89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Kaluga vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Kaluga v FC UFA in the Cup.
Current form
Kaluga, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Volgar Astrakhan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FC UFA, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veles, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.0 xG, FC UFA 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 11%, draw 23%, FC UFA 66%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaluga11%fair 8.93 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.66
FC UFA66%fair 1.51 · @1.59
3.32Expected goals
0.96Kaluga xG
2.36FC UFA xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.0 – 2.4 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC UFA to win✗
66%
1.51
1.59 ▲
Double chance
FC UFA or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.86
Draw no bet
FC UFA (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
FC UFA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.89 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.05
First team to score
FC UFA to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
FC UFA ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC UFA / FT FC UFA✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Kaluga – last 6
DDWLDW
5 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Iskra Smolensk
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
DWWDLD
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Enisey
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Ural
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and FC UFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaluga vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC UFA 66%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs FC UFA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs FC UFA?
Kaluga vs FC UFA (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.