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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaluga v FC UFA: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Kaluga

DDWLD
1–0
FT

FC UFA

DWWDL
Kaluga 11%Draw 23%FC UFA 66% Expected goals 0.96 – 2.36
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC UFA to win ✗66% · @1.59
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✗89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Kaluga vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Kaluga v FC UFA in the Cup.

Current form

Kaluga, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Volgar Astrakhan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

FC UFA, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veles, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.0 xG, FC UFA 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 11%, draw 23%, FC UFA 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.86.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaluga11%fair 8.93 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.66
FC UFA66%fair 1.51 · @1.59
3.32Expected goals
0.96Kaluga xG
2.36FC UFA xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%

From our goals model: Kaluga 1.0 – 2.4 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC UFA to win ✗66%1.511.59 ▲
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✗89%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.86
Draw no betFC UFA (draw no bet) ✗86%1.17–
Asian handicapFC UFA -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.89 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.05
First team to scoreFC UFA to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultFC UFA ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC UFA / FT FC UFA ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Kaluga – last 6

DDWLDW
5 Sep@ Volgar Astrakhan1–1D
30 Augvs Alaniya Vladikavkaz1–1D
25 Aug@ Avangard Kursk2–1W
22 Augvs Dinamo Bryansk0–1L
16 Aug@ Mashuk-KMV1–1D
12 Augvs Iskra Smolensk5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

DWWDLD
5 Sepvs Veles1–1D
28 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik1–0W
23 Augvs Enisey3–1W
17 Aug@ Spartak Kostroma1–1D
8 Aug@ Ural0–3L
3 Augvs KAMAZ1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and FC UFA.

Kaluga vs FC UFA head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaluga vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kaluga vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Kaluga have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC UFA 66%.

How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs FC UFA?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Kaluga vs FC UFA?

Kaluga vs FC UFA (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.