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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chertanovo Moscow v FK Neftekhimik: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Chertanovo Moscow

WDWWW
1–1
FTPens 4–3

FK Neftekhimik

WLWLL
Chertanovo Moscow 14%Draw 22%FK Neftekhimik 64% Expected goals 1.20 – 2.53
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.63Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗64% · @1.47
Double chanceFK Neftekhimik or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chertanovo Moscow welcome FK Neftekhimik for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cherepovets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

FK Neftekhimik, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Enisey, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chertanovo Moscow, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for FK Neftekhimik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chertanovo Moscow 1.2 xG, FK Neftekhimik 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chertanovo Moscow 14%, draw 22%, FK Neftekhimik 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertanovo Moscow 1–2 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chertanovo Moscow14%fair 7.30 · @5.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.15
FK Neftekhimik64%fair 1.57 · @1.47
3.73Expected goals
1.20Chertanovo Moscow xG
2.53FK Neftekhimik xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%

From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 1.2 – 2.5 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗64%1.571.47
Double chanceFK Neftekhimik or draw ✓86%1.161.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.70
Draw no betFK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapFK Neftekhimik -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.201.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.551.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.771.41
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.341.12
First team to scoreFK Neftekhimik to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultFK Neftekhimik ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik ✗44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Chertanovo Moscow – last 6

WDWWWW
6 Sepvs Cherepovets2–0W
30 Aug@ Spartak Moscow 21–1D
26 Aug@ KDV4–2W
23 Augvs Tver4–0W
15 Aug@ Iskra Smolensk3–0W
12 Augvs Chita3–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

WLWLLL
5 Sep@ Enisey2–0W
28 Augvs FC UFA0–1L
24 Aug@ Rotor Volgograd1–0W
20 Augvs FC Sochi1–2L
14 Augvs Shinnik Yaroslavl0–2L
8 Aug@ Nizhny Novgorod1–5L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and FK Neftekhimik.

Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Volna Nizhegorodskaya2 Rotor Volgograd0 117%3.44X52%3.24231%1.96 1.0–1.3xG X2Rotor Volgograd or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Znamya Noginsk0 Ska-khabarovsk4 113%4.75X20%4.15267%1.52 0.8–2.1xG 2Ska-khabarovsk to win 67%@1.52 ✓
FT Kaluga1 FC UFA0 111%4.80X23%3.66266%1.59 1.0–2.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Dinamo Kirov1 KAMAZ0 120%3.02X51%3.38229%2.07 1.8–2.1xG X2KAMAZ or draw 80%@1.28 ✗
FT FK Sokol Saratov1 Leningradets1 Pens 5–6 136%3.25X21%3.40243%1.97 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.23 ✓
FT Murom1 Veles0 121%3.24X22%3.46257%1.95 0.8–1.6xG X2Veles or draw 79%@1.25 ✗
FT Volgar Astrakhan0 Volga Ulyanovsk0 Pens 4–5 144%2.64X21%3.50235%2.24 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.43 ✓
FT Dinamo Stavropol1 Nizhny Novgorod2 112%10.25X14%6.55274%1.16 0.7–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.

Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?

On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Neftekhimik 64%.

How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 1–2 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?

Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.