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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Murom v Veles: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Murom

WWLDD
1–0
FT

Veles

DWWWL
Murom 21%Draw 22%Veles 57% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.59
79%
Betarazi pick

Veles or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Veles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVeles to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Murom vs Veles: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 9 September the Cup brings Murom against Veles. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Murom, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dinamo Vologda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Veles, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC UFA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Murom 0.8 xG, Veles 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Murom 21%, draw 22%, Veles 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Veles or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.61.
  • Price worth noting: Veles to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Veles or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murom 0–1 Veles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Murom21%fair 4.82 · @3.24
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.46
Veles57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
2.41Expected goals
0.82Murom xG
1.59Veles xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Murom 0.8 – 1.6 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVeles to win ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.61
Draw no betVeles (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapMurom +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.99
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreVeles to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Veles / FT Veles ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

Murom – last 6

WWLDDW
30 Augvs Dinamo Vologda2–1W
27 Aug@ 2Drots3–0W
23 Aug@ Baltika II0–3L
16 Augvs Yenisey II1–1D
12 Augvs Metallurg Lipetsk0–0D
9 Aug@ Chertanovo Moscow2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Veles – last 6

DWWWLW
5 Sep@ FC UFA1–1D
29 Aug@ Tekstilshchik1–0W
24 Augvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
19 Augvs Nizhny Novgorod3–2W
15 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk0–2L
9 Augvs Leningradets2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Murom and Veles.

Murom vs Veles head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Volna Nizhegorodskaya2 Rotor Volgograd0 117%3.44X52%3.24231%1.96 1.0–1.3xG X2Rotor Volgograd or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Znamya Noginsk0 Ska-khabarovsk4 113%4.75X20%4.15267%1.52 0.8–2.1xG 2Ska-khabarovsk to win 67%@1.52 ✓
FT Kaluga1 FC UFA0 111%4.80X23%3.66266%1.59 1.0–2.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Dinamo Kirov1 KAMAZ0 120%3.02X51%3.38229%2.07 1.8–2.1xG X2KAMAZ or draw 80%@1.28 ✗
FT FK Sokol Saratov1 Leningradets1 Pens 5–6 136%3.25X21%3.40243%1.97 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.23 ✓
FT Volgar Astrakhan0 Volga Ulyanovsk0 Pens 4–5 144%2.64X21%3.50235%2.24 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.43 ✓
FT Dinamo Stavropol1 Nizhny Novgorod2 112%10.25X14%6.55274%1.16 0.7–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.25 ✓
FT Chertanovo Moscow1 FK Neftekhimik1 Pens 4–3 114%5.30X22%4.15264%1.47 1.2–2.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.63 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murom vs Veles?

Our pick is Veles or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Murom vs Veles?

On our numbers Murom have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Veles 57%.

How many goals will there be in Murom vs Veles?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murom vs Veles?

Our predicted score is Murom 0–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Murom vs Veles?

Murom vs Veles (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.