Manchester United 42%Draw 19%AS Roma 39%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.78
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: AS Roma to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Manchester United vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United welcome AS Roma to Old Trafford for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Tuesday 3 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, Manchester United are 17th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; AS Roma are 20th (lower half) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Manchester United, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chelsea, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
AS Roma, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Udinese, away. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours AS Roma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Manchester United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.9 xG, AS Roma 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 42%, draw 19%, AS Roma 39%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: AS Roma to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
AS Roma39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
3.64Expected goals
1.86Manchester United xG
1.78AS Roma xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.9 – 1.8 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
42%
2.38
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
First team to score
Manchester United to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 6
LLLDLD
31 Oct
@ Chelsea
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Bournemouth
0–3
L
21 Oct
@ Como
1–4
L
18 Oct
@ Leeds
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WWDWWL
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Genoa
2–0
W
14 Oct
vs Real Madrid
3–4
L
3.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and AS Roma.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AS Roma 39%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs AS Roma?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Manchester United vs AS Roma (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
