Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP to win ✓48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League, played at Stamford Bridge. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Sporting CP are 10th (upper half) with 9.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Obolon'-Brovar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sporting CP, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Casa Pia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3 xG, Sporting CP 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 31%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 48%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk31%fair 3.27 · @3.60

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70

Sporting CP48%fair 2.07 · @2.00

2.94Expected goals

1.27Shakhtar Donetsk xG

1.67Sporting CP xG

62%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–19%

0–27%

2–17%

1–07%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3 – 1.7 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sporting CP to win ✓	48%	2.07	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	1.62
Draw no bet	Sporting CP (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Shakhtar Donetsk +1 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.80	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
First team to score	Sporting CP to score first ✓	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP ✗	28%	3.53	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.67	–

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWDLWW

30 Oct	vs Obolon'-Brovar	2–0	W
27 Oct	vs Dynamo Kyiv	3–0	W
24 Oct	vs Zorya Luhansk	0–0	D
21 Oct	@ Inter	0–1	L
17 Oct	vs Kolos Kovalivka	2–1	W
14 Oct	vs AEK Athens FC	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sporting CP – last 6

WWLLWW

30 Oct	@ Casa Pia	2–0	W
27 Oct	vs Maritimo	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs Academico Viseu	1–2	L
21 Oct	vs Lask Linz	2–3	L
13 Oct	@ Lens	2–0	W
9 Oct	@ SC Braga	3–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 48%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP: numbers & prediction