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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Central Espanol v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
3–0
FT
Central Espanol 40%Draw 23%Juventud 37% Expected goals 0.89 – 0.85
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Central Espanol to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCentral Espanol to win ✓40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.86

Central Espanol vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Central Espanol v Juventud in the Copa Uruguay.

Current form

Central Espanol, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Juventud, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Maldonado, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Central Espanol.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Central Espanol 0–1 Juventud. The last 2 head-to-heads: Central Espanol 1 win, Juventud 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 0.9 xG, Juventud 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 40%, draw 23%, Juventud 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Central Espanol to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 0–0 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central Espanol40%fair 2.52 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Juventud37%fair 2.67 · @2.33
1.74Expected goals
0.89Central Espanol xG
0.85Juventud xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.9 – 0.9 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCentral Espanol to win ✓40%2.522.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.80
Draw no betCentral Espanol (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapJuventud +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.211.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreCentral Espanol to score first ✓42%2.37–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6%16.86–

Recent results

Central Espanol – last 6

LLLWDL
28 Aug@ Wanderers0–3L
22 Augvs Juventud0–1L
16 Aug@ Penarol1–2L
8 Augvs Progreso1–0W
2 Augvs Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
25 Julvs Cerro Largo0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

WWWLDD
29 Augvs Deportivo Maldonado2–0W
26 Augvs Oriental1–0W
22 Aug@ Central Espanol1–0W
15 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
7 Aug@ Cerro Largo1–1D
1 Aug@ Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Central Espanol v Juventud0–1
22 Feb 2026Juventud v Central Espanol0–1
Central Espanol vs Juventud head-to-head page →

More Copa Uruguay predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Central Espanol vs Juventud?

On our numbers Central Espanol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventud 37%.

How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Juventud?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–0 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Central Espanol vs Juventud?

Central Espanol vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.