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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liverpool Montevideo v Boston River: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Liverpool Montevideo 59%Draw 25%Boston River 16% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.68
84%
Betarazi pick

Liverpool Montevideo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Liverpool Montevideo v Boston River in the Copa Uruguay.

Current form

Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro Largo, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Boston River, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Boston River.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Liverpool Montevideo 2 wins, Boston River 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 xG, Boston River 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 59%, draw 25%, Boston River 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Liverpool Montevideo to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Liverpool Montevideo or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool Montevideo59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.25
Boston River16%fair 6.21 · @3.65
2.24Expected goals
1.56Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.68Boston River xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.7 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗59%1.701.91 ▲
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✗84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.83
Draw no betLiverpool Montevideo (draw no bet) ✗78%1.27–
Asian handicapBoston River +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLiverpool Montevideo to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

DWWWWD
30 Aug@ Cerro Largo1–1D
27 Aug@ Fenix2–0W
21 Augvs Cerro4–0W
16 Aug@ Defensor Sporting4–0W
8 Augvs Albion FC1–0W
2 Aug@ Central Espanol0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

DWDWLL
29 Augvs Cerro1–1D
21 Aug@ Albion FC3–2W
14 Augvs Danubio0–0D
9 Aug@ Club Nacional2–1W
2 Aug@ Racing Montevideo0–1L
18 Jul@ Penarol0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jun 2026Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo0–1
10 Mar 2026Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River head-to-head page →

More Copa Uruguay predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boston River 16%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.