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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olancho v Real Espana: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas

Olancho

DLDWD
1–1
FT
Olancho 33%Draw 22%Real Espana 45% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.25
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Espana to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.56

Olancho vs Real Espana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Liga Nacional brings Olancho against Real Espana at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Real Espana are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Olancho, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlético Choloma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Espana, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lobos Upnfm, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Espana, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Olancho.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Olancho 3–0 Real Espana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.0 xG, Real Espana 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 33%, draw 22%, Real Espana 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 0–1 Real Espana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olancho33%fair 3.04 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Real Espana45%fair 2.20 · @2.30
2.24Expected goals
1.00Olancho xG
1.25Real Espana xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Olancho 1.0 – 1.2 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✗45%2.202.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.75–
Draw no betReal Espana (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapOlancho +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreReal Espana to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.56–

Recent results

Olancho – last 6

DLDWDW
5 Sep@ Atlético Choloma0–0D
30 Aug@ CD Motagua1–2L
24 Augvs CD Olimpia1–1D
17 Augvs Juticalpa1–0W
9 Aug@ Lobos Upnfm1–1D
3 Aug@ Estrella Roja1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Real Espana – last 6

WWDDWW
7 Sepvs Lobos Upnfm2–0W
31 Augvs Atlético Choloma2–1W
23 Aug@ CD Marathon1–1D
16 Augvs Atletico Independiente1–1D
9 Augvs Génesis2–0W
1 Aug@ Platense FC3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Olancho v Real Espana3–0
Olancho vs Real Espana head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Olancho vs Real Espana?

On our numbers Olancho have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Espana 45%.

How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Real Espana?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Our predicted score is Olancho 0–1 Real Espana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Olancho vs Real Espana?

Olancho vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.