Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceLobos Upnfm or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.90
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Liga Nacional brings Lobos Upnfm against Atlético Choloma at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olancho, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 1–2 Atlético Choloma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.8 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 62%, draw 21%, Atlético Choloma 17%.
Lower-risk option: Lobos Upnfm or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Lobos Upnfm to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lobos Upnfm or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Atlético Choloma17%fair 5.81 · @3.60
2.56Expected goals
1.77Lobos Upnfm xG
0.78Atlético Choloma xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.8 – 0.8 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Lobos Upnfm or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Choloma 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
