CD Motagua 61%Draw 20%Génesis 19%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.87
61%
Betarazi pick
CD Motagua to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
CD Motagua vs Génesis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: CD Motagua v Génesis in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Génesis are 8th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Alianza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Génesis, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juticalpa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended CD Motagua 2–1 Génesis. The last 3 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 2 wins, Génesis 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.8 xG, Génesis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 61%, draw 20%, Génesis 19%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Motagua to win (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Génesis19%fair 5.19 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.80CD Motagua xG
0.87Génesis xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.9 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Génesis?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Génesis 19%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Génesis?
CD Motagua vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
