Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.62
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Choloma travel to face CD Motagua on Sunday 11 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Espana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estrella Roja, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Choloma.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 1–3 CD Motagua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 2.1 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 73%, draw 17%, Atlético Choloma 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Motagua to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.50
Atlético Choloma10%fair 9.77 · @8.50
2.64Expected goals
2.06CD Motagua xG
0.58Atlético Choloma xG
41%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.1 – 0.6 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Choloma 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estrella Roja0