Estrella Roja 17%Draw 23%Real Espana 60%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.92
60%
Betarazi pick
Real Espana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Espana to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.35
Estrella Roja vs Real Espana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Liga Nacional brings Estrella Roja against Real Espana. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Estrella Roja, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Choloma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Real Espana, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CD Motagua, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Espana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Estrella Roja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Roja 0.9 xG, Real Espana 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Roja 17%, draw 23%, Real Espana 60%.
Lower-risk option: Real Espana or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Espana to win (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Roja 0–1 Real Espana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Roja17%fair 6.06 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Real Espana60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
2.83Expected goals
0.91Estrella Roja xG
1.92Real Espana xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Estrella Roja 0.9 – 1.9 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Espana to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Real Espana or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Real Espana (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Real Espana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Real Espana to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Real Espana ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Espana / FT Real Espana✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
14.35
–
Recent results
Estrella Roja – last 6
LDLDWD
19 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Juticalpa
5–2
W
16 Aug
@ Lobos Upnfm
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Espana – last 6
WDWWDD
20 Sep
vs CD Motagua
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Olancho
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Lobos Upnfm
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ CD Marathon
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and Real Espana.
What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs Real Espana?
Our pick is Real Espana to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Estrella Roja vs Real Espana?
On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Espana 60%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs Real Espana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs Real Espana?
Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 0–1 Real Espana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estrella Roja vs Real Espana?
Estrella Roja vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
