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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lobos Upnfm v CD Marathon: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse

Lobos Upnfm

WWLLL
0–0
FT

CD Marathon

LLWDW
Lobos Upnfm 30%Draw 23%CD Marathon 47% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.39
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Lobos Upnfm v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Platense FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

CD Marathon, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Juticalpa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Lobos Upnfm.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.0 xG, CD Marathon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 30%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lobos Upnfm30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
CD Marathon47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
2.44Expected goals
1.05Lobos Upnfm xG
1.39CD Marathon xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%

From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.0 – 1.4 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✗47%2.142.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.67
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapLobos Upnfm +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

WWLLLD
18 Sep@ Platense FC2–0W
13 Sepvs Atlético Choloma1–0W
7 Sep@ Real Espana0–2L
29 Aug@ Juticalpa0–1L
22 Aug@ CD Motagua1–4L
16 Augvs Estrella Roja2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CD Marathon – last 6

LLWDWW
20 Sep@ Juticalpa2–3L
18 Sep@ LD Alajuelense1–3L
14 Sepvs CD Olimpia1–0W
11 Sepvs LD Alajuelense2–2D
6 Sepvs Estrella Roja5–0W
29 Aug@ Génesis2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lobos Upnfm and CD Marathon.

Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub
FT CD Motagua2 Atlético Choloma1 173%1.22X17%5.50210%8.50 2.1–0.6xG 1CD Motagua to win 73%@1.22 ✓
FT Estrella Roja0 Real Espana1 117%4.10X23%3.50260%1.73 0.9–1.9xG 2Real Espana to win 60%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?

On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 47%.

How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?

Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?

Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.