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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Consadole Sapporo v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Sapporo Dome

Consadole Sapporo

LDDLW
1–2
FT

Fagiano Okayama

LWWWL
Consadole Sapporo 16%Draw 20%Fagiano Okayama 64% Expected goals 0.14 – 0.86
64%
Betarazi pick

Fagiano Okayama to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗32% · fair 3.14

Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Consadole Sapporo welcome Fagiano Okayama to Sapporo Dome for a J League Cup fixture on Tuesday 29 September (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Consadole Sapporo, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kyoto Sanga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Consadole Sapporo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Consadole Sapporo 0.1 xG, Fagiano Okayama 0.9 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Consadole Sapporo 16%, draw 20%, Fagiano Okayama 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fagiano Okayama or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fagiano Okayama to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Consadole Sapporo16%fair 6.19 · @4.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.90
Fagiano Okayama64%fair 1.57 · @1.53
1.00Expected goals
0.14Consadole Sapporo xG
0.86Fagiano Okayama xG
44%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–132%
0–214%
1–05%
1–14%
0–34%

From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 0.1 – 0.9 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFagiano Okayama to win ✓64%1.571.53
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betFagiano Okayama (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapConsadole Sapporo +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreFagiano Okayama to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗66%1.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗32%3.14–

Recent results

Consadole Sapporo – last 6

LDDLWL
26 Sep@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
19 Sepvs Oita Trinita1–1D
13 Sep@ Vegalta Sendai1–1D
6 Sepvs Tochigi City1–4L
2 Sep@ Kagoshima United1–0W
29 Aug@ Ventforet Kofu1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

LWWWLW
19 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–2L
13 Sep@ Urawa2–1W
6 Sepvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
2 Sep@ JEF United Chiba2–1W
29 Aug@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
26 Augvs Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Consadole Sapporo and Fagiano Okayama.

Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yokohama F. Marinos6501+915
2Consadole Sapporo6312+310
3Jubilo Iwata6204-16
4Sagan Tosu6114-114

More J League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Ehime FC0 FC Tokyo2 115%8.00X17%4.80268%1.25 0.1–0.9xG 2FC Tokyo to win 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Fujieda MYFC1 Cerezo Osaka2 116%4.80X20%3.60263%1.57 0.5–1.5xG 2Cerezo Osaka to win 63%@1.57 ✓
FT Kanazawa0 Shimizu S-pulse2 121%3.70X23%3.30257%1.80 1.1–1.9xG X2Shimizu S-pulse or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Roasso Kumamoto0 Kawasaki Frontale1 111%7.50X20%4.50268%1.30 0.4–1.6xG 2Kawasaki Frontale to win 68%@1.30 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Nagoya Grampus3 114%7.50X20%4.60266%1.30 0.1–0.9xG 2Nagoya Grampus to win 66%@1.30 ✓
FT Osaka1 Avispa Fukuoka1 AET 1–2 118%5.00X19%3.80262%1.50 1.0–2.0xG 2Avispa Fukuoka to win 62%@1.50 ✗
FT Tochigi City0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima2 110%8.50X20%5.00271%1.25 0.4–1.6xG 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Kataller Toyama2 Urawa3 120%3.75X21%3.40258%1.75 1.1–1.9xG X2Urawa or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Fagiano Okayama to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fagiano Okayama 64%.

How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?

Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Dome.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.