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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tochigi City v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · City Football Station

Tochigi City

LLLDW
0–2
FT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWLWD
Tochigi City 10%Draw 20%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71% Expected goals 0.37 – 1.63
71%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.02

Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Tochigi City v Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J League Cup, played at City Football Station.

Current form

Tochigi City, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tokushima Vortis, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avispa Fukuoka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Tochigi City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi City 0.4 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi City 10%, draw 20%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi City 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tochigi City10%fair 10.32 · @8.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
2.00Expected goals
0.37Tochigi City xG
1.63Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–122%
0–218%
0–014%
0–310%
1–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Tochigi City 0.4 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓71%1.411.25
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.70
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%15.02–

Recent results

Tochigi City – last 6

LLLDWW
26 Sep@ Tokushima Vortis0–3L
23 Sep@ Machida Zelvia1–2L
20 Sepvs Vegalta Sendai1–3L
12 Sep@ Kataller Toyama0–0D
6 Sep@ Consadole Sapporo4–1W
2 Sep@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WWLWDW
19 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
12 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka6–1W
6 Sep@ Fagiano Okayama2–3L
2 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus3–0W
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
26 Augvs Okinawa SV4–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tochigi City and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagoya Grampus6501+615
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima6303+59
3Yokohama FC6204-36
4Vissel Kobe6204-86

More J League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Ehime FC0 FC Tokyo2 115%8.00X17%4.80268%1.25 0.1–0.9xG 2FC Tokyo to win 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Fujieda MYFC1 Cerezo Osaka2 116%4.80X20%3.60263%1.57 0.5–1.5xG 2Cerezo Osaka to win 63%@1.57 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Fagiano Okayama2 116%4.75X20%3.90264%1.53 0.1–0.9xG 2Fagiano Okayama to win 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Kanazawa0 Shimizu S-pulse2 121%3.70X23%3.30257%1.80 1.1–1.9xG X2Shimizu S-pulse or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Roasso Kumamoto0 Kawasaki Frontale1 111%7.50X20%4.50268%1.30 0.4–1.6xG 2Kawasaki Frontale to win 68%@1.30 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Nagoya Grampus3 114%7.50X20%4.60266%1.30 0.1–0.9xG 2Nagoya Grampus to win 66%@1.30 ✓
FT Osaka1 Avispa Fukuoka1 AET 1–2 118%5.00X19%3.80262%1.50 1.0–2.0xG 2Avispa Fukuoka to win 62%@1.50 ✗
FT Kataller Toyama2 Urawa3 120%3.75X21%3.40258%1.75 1.1–1.9xG X2Urawa or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Tochigi City have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71%.

How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Tochigi City 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.