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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wanderers v Cerrito: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay

Wanderers

DDLLD
1–3
FT

Cerrito

DDWLL
Wanderers 63%Draw 23%Cerrito 14% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.82
63%
Betarazi pick

Wanderers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultWanderers to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceWanderers or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Wanderers vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 24 September the Copa Uruguay brings Wanderers against Cerrito. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Wanderers, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Cerrito, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CA River Plate, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.9 xG, Cerrito 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 63%, draw 23%, Cerrito 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Wanderers or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wanderers to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–0 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wanderers63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Cerrito14%fair 6.94 · @4.50
2.75Expected goals
1.93Wanderers xG
0.82Cerrito xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Wanderers 1.9 – 0.8 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWanderers to win ✗63%1.601.70 ▲
Double chanceWanderers or draw ✗86%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.85
Draw no betWanderers (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapWanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreWanderers to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultWanderers ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wanderers / FT Wanderers ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Wanderers – last 6

DDLLDW
20 Sep@ Danubio1–1D
12 Sepvs Club Nacional1–1D
10 Sep@ Deportivo Maldonado1–4L
5 Sep@ Deportivo Maldonado0–2L
1 Sepvs Cerro1–1D
28 Augvs Central Espanol3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cerrito – last 6

DDWLLL
20 Sepvs CA River Plate1–1D
13 Sep@ Atenas0–0D
10 Sep@ Cerro2–0W
5 Sepvs Paysandu1–2L
2 Sepvs Deportivo Maldonado0–2L
29 Aug@ Sportivo Huracan1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Cerrito.

Wanderers vs Cerrito head-to-head page →

More Copa Uruguay predictions

League hub
FT Cerro1 Deportivo Maldonado2 123%3.50X24%2.88252%2.00 1.1–1.7xG X2Deportivo Maldonado or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Danubio1 Penarol1 127%3.50X25%2.80249%2.05 1.2–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✓
FT Atletico Torque3 Atenas3 161%1.53X25%3.40214%5.50 2.1–0.9xG 1Atletico Torque to win 61%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Cerrito?

Our pick is Wanderers to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Wanderers vs Cerrito?

On our numbers Wanderers have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerrito 14%.

How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Cerrito?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Cerrito?

Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–0 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Wanderers vs Cerrito?

Wanderers vs Cerrito (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.