AS Gabes 62%Draw 21%Mégrine 17%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.70
62%
Betarazi pick
AS Gabes to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultAS Gabes to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceAS Gabes or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
AS Gabes vs Mégrine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: AS Gabes v Mégrine in the Ligue 2, played at Gabes Municipal Stadium. In the table, AS Gabes are 27th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 7 matches; Mégrine are 10th (upper half) with 11.
Current form
AS Gabes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stade Tunisien, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Mégrine, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bouselem, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mégrine, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for AS Gabes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Gabes 1.7 xG, Mégrine 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Gabes 62%, draw 21%, Mégrine 17%.
Lower-risk option: AS Gabes or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AS Gabes to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Gabes 1–0 Mégrine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Gabes62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Mégrine17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
2.36Expected goals
1.66AS Gabes xG
0.70Mégrine xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: AS Gabes 1.7 – 0.7 Mégrine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Gabes to win✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
AS Gabes or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
AS Gabes (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
AS Gabes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
AS Gabes to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Gabes / FT AS Gabes✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Recent results
AS Gabes – last 6
LLLLLD
13 May
vs Stade Tunisien
0–1
L
8 May
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ US Monastirienne
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Club Africain
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ ES Metlaoui
2–2
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mégrine – last 6
LDDLWL
11 May
@ Bouselem
1–2
L
1 May
vs BS Bouhajla
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Sporting Ben Arous
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
29 Mar
@ Menzel Bourguiba
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs US Tataouine
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Gabes and Mégrine.
Our pick is AS Gabes to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
On our numbers AS Gabes have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mégrine 17%.
How many goals will there be in AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
Our predicted score is AS Gabes 1–0 Mégrine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
AS Gabes vs Mégrine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gabes Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
