Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Ben Arous to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceSporting Ben Arous or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Sporting Ben Arous v EM Mahdia in the Ligue 2. In the table, Sporting Ben Arous are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 7 matches; EM Mahdia are 2nd (among the top four) with 17.
Current form
Sporting Ben Arous, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Menzel Bourguiba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
EM Mahdia, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kerkennah, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sporting Ben Arous, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for EM Mahdia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Ben Arous 1.5 xG, EM Mahdia 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Ben Arous 64%, draw 23%, EM Mahdia 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Ben Arous to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 EM Mahdia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Ben Arous64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.00
EM Mahdia13%fair 7.44 · @4.75
2.05Expected goals
1.54Sporting Ben Arous xG
0.52EM Mahdia xG
38%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sporting Ben Arous 1.5 – 0.5 EM Mahdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Ben Arous to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Ben Arous or draw✗
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Sporting Ben Arous (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Ben Arous -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sporting Ben Arous to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Ben Arous / FT Sporting Ben Arous✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.07
–
Recent results
Sporting Ben Arous – last 6
WLDLDW
11 May
vs Menzel Bourguiba
6–0
W
1 May
@ US Tataouine
0–1
L
27 Apr
vs Mégrine
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs AS Agareb
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Bouselem
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs BS Bouhajla
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
EM Mahdia – last 6
LLLDDD
11 May
vs Kerkennah
1–3
L
1 May
@ Menzel Bourguiba
0–1
L
27 Apr
vs US Tataouine
0–1
L
13 Apr
vs CS Chebba
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ AS Agareb
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sfax Railways
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Ben Arous and EM Mahdia.
What is the prediction for Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
Our pick is Sporting Ben Arous to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
On our numbers Sporting Ben Arous have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and EM Mahdia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
Our predicted score is Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 EM Mahdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
