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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerkennah v M'saken: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
1–2
FT

M'saken

LLLDL
Kerkennah 62%Draw 24%M'saken 14% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.56
62%
Betarazi pick

Kerkennah to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultKerkennah to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceKerkennah or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33

Kerkennah vs M'saken: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kerkennah welcome M'saken for a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Kerkennah are 22nd, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; M'saken are 4th (among the top four) with 14.

Current form

Kerkennah, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over EM Mahdia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

M'saken, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to CS Chebba, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kerkennah, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for M'saken.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended M'saken 0–1 Kerkennah.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerkennah 1.6 xG, M'saken 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerkennah 62%, draw 24%, M'saken 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kerkennah or draw (86%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kerkennah to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerkennah 1–0 M'saken. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerkennah62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.00
M'saken14%fair 7.32 · @4.10
2.12Expected goals
1.56Kerkennah xG
0.56M'saken xG
39%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Kerkennah 1.6 – 0.6 M'saken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKerkennah to win ✗62%1.601.85 ▲
Double chanceKerkennah or draw ✗86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.65–
Draw no betKerkennah (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapKerkennah -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreKerkennah to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kerkennah / FT Kerkennah ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.33–

Recent results

Kerkennah – last 6

WDWDWL
11 May@ EM Mahdia3–1W
1 Mayvs CS Hammam-Lif0–0D
27 Aprvs ES Hammam-Sousse2–1W
13 Aprvs US Tataouine0–0D
29 Marvs CS Chebba2–1W
28 Feb@ AS Agareb0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

M'saken – last 6

LLLDLD
11 Mayvs CS Chebba2–4L
1 May@ AS Agareb0–1L
27 Aprvs Sfax Railways1–3L
22 Aprvs ES Hammam-Sousse0–0D
13 Apr@ Bouselem0–1L
5 Aprvs BS Bouhajla0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026M'saken v Kerkennah0–1
Kerkennah vs M'saken head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerkennah vs M'saken?

Our pick is Kerkennah to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Kerkennah vs M'saken?

On our numbers Kerkennah have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and M'saken 14%.

How many goals will there be in Kerkennah vs M'saken?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerkennah vs M'saken?

Our predicted score is Kerkennah 1–0 M'saken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Kerkennah vs M'saken?

Kerkennah vs M'saken (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.