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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bouchamma v Korba: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
1–0
FT

Korba

DWLWL
Bouchamma 40%Draw 24%Korba 35% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.05
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBouchamma to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.83

Bouchamma vs Korba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bouchamma welcome Korba for a Ligue 2 fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Bouchamma are 6th, upper half, on 13 points after 7 matches; Korba are 8th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bouchamma, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Korba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Korba, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bouchamma, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Bouchamma 1–1 Korba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bouchamma 1.1 xG, Korba 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bouchamma 40%, draw 24%, Korba 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bouchamma 1–1 Korba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bouchamma40%fair 2.49 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Korba35%fair 2.82 · @2.88
2.19Expected goals
1.14Bouchamma xG
1.05Korba xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Bouchamma 1.1 – 1.0 Korba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBouchamma to win ✓40%2.492.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betBouchamma (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapKorba +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreBouchamma to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bouchamma / FT Bouchamma ✓21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.83–

Recent results

Bouchamma – last 6

DWLLDL
12 Mayvs Korba1–1D
28 Aprvs Ariana5–0W
22 Apr@ Jendouba Sport1–2L
29 Marvs Stade Gabesien1–2L
27 Feb@ Djelma1–1D
21 Febvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Korba – last 6

DWLWLD
12 May@ Bouchamma1–1D
28 Apr@ EO Sidi Bouzid5–1W
22 Apr@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer0–4L
29 Marvs Jendouba Sport2–1W
27 Feb@ Kalaâ Sport1–2L
22 Febvs Ksour Essef0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Bouchamma v Korba1–1
Bouchamma vs Korba head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bouchamma vs Korba?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Bouchamma vs Korba?

On our numbers Bouchamma have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Korba 35%.

How many goals will there be in Bouchamma vs Korba?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bouchamma vs Korba?

Our predicted score is Bouchamma 1–1 Korba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bouchamma vs Korba?

Bouchamma vs Korba (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.