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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

EGS Gafsa v AS Kasserine: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
1–2
FT
EGS Gafsa 41%Draw 23%AS Kasserine 36% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.08
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultEGS Gafsa to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11

EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: EGS Gafsa v AS Kasserine in the Ligue 2. In the table, EGS Gafsa are 19th, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; AS Kasserine are 1st (leading the league) with 18.

Current form

EGS Gafsa, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over EO Sidi Bouzid, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

AS Kasserine, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CS Hammam-Lif, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended EGS Gafsa 0–1 AS Kasserine.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give EGS Gafsa 1.2 xG, AS Kasserine 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – EGS Gafsa 41%, draw 23%, AS Kasserine 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: EGS Gafsa 1–1 AS Kasserine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

EGS Gafsa41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
AS Kasserine36%fair 2.78 · @2.88
2.25Expected goals
1.17EGS Gafsa xG
1.08AS Kasserine xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: EGS Gafsa 1.2 – 1.1 AS Kasserine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEGS Gafsa to win ✗41%2.462.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betEGS Gafsa (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapAS Kasserine +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreEGS Gafsa to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT EGS Gafsa / FT EGS Gafsa ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.11–

Recent results

EGS Gafsa – last 6

WWLLLL
12 Mayvs EO Sidi Bouzid5–2W
28 Aprvs Jendouba Sport1–0W
19 Apr@ Ksour Essef2–4L
5 Apr@ Stade Gabesien1–2L
27 Feb@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer0–3L
21 Febvs AS Kasserine0–1L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AS Kasserine – last 6

LWDLDW
25 May@ CS Hammam-Lif0–1L
12 Mayvs Ksour Essef1–0W
28 Aprvs Stade Gabesien1–1D
19 Apr@ Djelma0–1L
27 Febvs Moknine1–1D
21 Feb@ EGS Gafsa1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026EGS Gafsa v AS Kasserine0–1
EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine?

On our numbers EGS Gafsa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Kasserine 36%.

How many goals will there be in EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine?

Our predicted score is EGS Gafsa 1–1 AS Kasserine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine?

EGS Gafsa vs AS Kasserine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.