Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Moknine to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMoknine to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceMoknine or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Moknine vs Redeyef: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Redeyef travel to face Moknine on Sunday 27 September in the Ligue 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Moknine are 28th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 7 matches; Redeyef are 21st (lower half) with 6.
Current form
Moknine, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ariana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Redeyef, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Moknine, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Redeyef.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Redeyef 2–3 Moknine.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moknine 1.8 xG, Redeyef 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moknine 60%, draw 27%, Redeyef 14%.
Lower-risk option: Moknine or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Moknine to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Moknine or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moknine 1–0 Redeyef. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moknine60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Redeyef14%fair 7.34 · @4.10
2.52Expected goals
1.76Moknine xG
0.75Redeyef xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Moknine 1.8 – 0.8 Redeyef expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Moknine or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Moknine vs Redeyef?
On our numbers Moknine have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Redeyef 14%.
How many goals will there be in Moknine vs Redeyef?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moknine vs Redeyef?
Our predicted score is Moknine 1–0 Redeyef, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Moknine vs Redeyef?
Moknine vs Redeyef (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
