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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Keflavik v KR Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland

Keflavik

LDLLL
2–3
FT

KR Reykjavik

WLWLD
Keflavik 23%Draw 15%KR Reykjavik 61% Expected goals 1.66 – 2.72
75%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓75% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.00

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KR Reykjavik travel to face Keflavik on Saturday 17 October in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; KR Reykjavik are 2nd with 56. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Keflavik, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Breidablik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

KR Reykjavik, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fram Reykjavik, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours KR Reykjavik, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Keflavik.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Keflavik 3–2 KR Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.7 xG, KR Reykjavik 2.7 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 23%, draw 15%, KR Reykjavik 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keflavik23%fair 4.29 · @4.00
Draw15%fair 6.50 · @4.60
KR Reykjavik61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
4.38Expected goals
1.66Keflavik xG
2.72KR Reykjavik xG
75%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–16%
1–45%

From our goals model: Keflavik 1.7 – 2.7 KR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKR Reykjavik to win ✓61%1.631.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓75%1.331.22
Draw no betKR Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapKR Reykjavik -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
First team to scoreKR Reykjavik to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultKR Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.00–

Recent results

Keflavik – last 6

LDLLLW
11 Oct@ Breidablik1–3L
20 Sepvs Fram Reykjavik2–2D
14 Sep@ Vikingur Reykjavik1–4L
5 Sepvs Valur Reykjavik1–2L
30 Aug@ FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
23 Augvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

KR Reykjavik – last 6

WLWLDW
10 Oct@ Fram Reykjavik2–1W
19 Sepvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–2L
13 Sepvs IA Akranes5–1W
6 Sep@ IA Akranes1–3L
1 Sepvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–1D
23 Aug@ KA Akureyri5–3W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Keflavik v KR Reykjavik3–2
Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub
FT Thor Akureyri3 Stjarnan1 138%2.45X20%3.60242%2.30 1.8–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Valur Reykjavik4 KA Akureyri1 143%2.20X19%3.80238%2.50 2.0–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.25 ✓
FT IBV Vestmannaeyjar3 FH hafnarfjordur1 134%2.80X21%3.40245%2.15 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Breidablik1 Vikingur Reykjavik2 119%4.20X14%4.60267%1.50 1.3–2.6xG 2Vikingur Reykjavik to win 67%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

On our numbers Keflavik have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and KR Reykjavik 61%.

How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.