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Valur Reykjavik v KA Akureyri: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
4–1
FT
Valur Reykjavik 43%Draw 19%KA Akureyri 38% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.84
72%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.65

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Valur Reykjavik welcome KA Akureyri for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Valur Reykjavik are 2nd on 34 points after 27 matches; KA Akureyri are 5th with 29.

Current form

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

KA Akureyri, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stjarnan, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Valur Reykjavik 4–4 KA Akureyri. The last 2 head-to-heads: Valur Reykjavik 1 win, KA Akureyri 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valur Reykjavik 2.0 xG, KA Akureyri 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valur Reykjavik 43%, draw 19%, KA Akureyri 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valur Reykjavik 1–1 KA Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valur Reykjavik43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
KA Akureyri38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
3.82Expected goals
1.98Valur Reykjavik xG
1.84KA Akureyri xG
72%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 2.0 – 1.8 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValur Reykjavik to win ✓43%2.322.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.391.25
Draw no betValur Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapKA Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
First team to scoreValur Reykjavik to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultValur Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✗35%2.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valur Reykjavik / FT Valur Reykjavik ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.65–

Recent results

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

LDWWDL
10 Octvs FH hafnarfjordur3–5L
20 Sep@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–1D
13 Sepvs Thor Akureyri4–1W
5 Sep@ Keflavik2–1W
30 Augvs IA Akranes2–2D
23 Aug@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KA Akureyri – last 6

WWLWDL
10 Oct@ Stjarnan3–0W
19 Sepvs Thor Akureyri3–0W
13 Sep@ FH hafnarfjordur0–3L
6 Sepvs Breidablik2–1W
30 Aug@ Fram Reykjavik2–2D
23 Augvs KR Reykjavik3–5L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Valur Reykjavik v KA Akureyri4–4
22 May 2026KA Akureyri v Valur Reykjavik0–1
Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and KA Akureyri 38%.

How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 1–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.