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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Thor Akureyri v Stjarnan: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · Thorsvollur

Thor Akureyri

WLLWW
3–1
FT

Stjarnan

LLWDW
Thor Akureyri 38%Draw 20%Stjarnan 42% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.90
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultStjarnan to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42

Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stjarnan travel to face Thor Akureyri on Saturday 17 October in the Úrvalsdeild, with Thorsvollur the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Thor Akureyri are 4th on 30 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34.

Current form

Thor Akureyri, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over IBV Vestmannaeyjar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Stjarnan, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to KA Akureyri, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Stjarnan 4–2 Thor Akureyri. The last 2 head-to-heads: Thor Akureyri 0 wins, Stjarnan 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thor Akureyri 1.8 xG, Stjarnan 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thor Akureyri 38%, draw 20%, Stjarnan 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thor Akureyri 1–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thor Akureyri38%fair 2.64 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
Stjarnan42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
3.70Expected goals
1.80Thor Akureyri xG
1.90Stjarnan xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.8 – 1.9 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStjarnan to win ✗42%2.372.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.36
Draw no betStjarnan (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapThor Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreStjarnan to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.42–

Recent results

Thor Akureyri – last 6

WLLWWL
10 Octvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
19 Sep@ KA Akureyri0–3L
13 Sep@ Valur Reykjavik1–4L
6 Sepvs FH hafnarfjordur1–0W
29 Aug@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
23 Aug@ Stjarnan2–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

LLWDWW
10 Octvs KA Akureyri0–3L
20 Sep@ FH hafnarfjordur2–5L
13 Sepvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–0W
6 Sepvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2D
31 Aug@ Breidablik2–0W
23 Augvs Thor Akureyri4–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026Stjarnan v Thor Akureyri4–2
31 May 2026Thor Akureyri v Stjarnan1–3
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub
FT Keflavik2 KR Reykjavik3 123%4.00X15%4.60261%1.55 1.7–2.7xG GGBoth teams to score 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Valur Reykjavik4 KA Akureyri1 143%2.20X19%3.80238%2.50 2.0–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.25 ✓
FT IBV Vestmannaeyjar3 FH hafnarfjordur1 134%2.80X21%3.40245%2.15 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Breidablik1 Vikingur Reykjavik2 119%4.20X14%4.60267%1.50 1.3–2.6xG 2Vikingur Reykjavik to win 67%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stjarnan 42%.

How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.