Value bet: Al-Khor to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Khor to win ✗40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Al-Khor vs UMM Salal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the QSL Cup brings Al-Khor against UMM Salal at Al Khor Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Al-Khor, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Muaither SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
UMM Salal, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Kharaitiyat, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Sep 2026) it ended UMM Salal 1–5 Al-Khor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Khor 1.1 xG, UMM Salal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Khor 40%, draw 21%, UMM Salal 39%.
Price worth noting: Al-Khor to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Khor 1–1 UMM Salal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Khor40%fair 2.47 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
UMM Salal39%fair 2.59 · @2.10
2.26Expected goals
1.15Al-Khor xG
1.11UMM Salal xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al-Khor 1.1 – 1.1 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al-Khor have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UMM Salal 39%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al-Khor 1–1 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
Al-Khor vs UMM Salal (QSL Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Khor Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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