Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:15 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Al-Markhiya v Al Ahli Doha in the QSL Cup, played at Grand Hamad Stadium.
Current form
Al-Markhiya, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lusail City, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Al Ahli Doha, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Shahaniya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Markhiya, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Al Ahli Doha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Markhiya 0.4 xG, Al Ahli Doha 0.6 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Markhiya 31%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Doha 48%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Markhiya 0–0 Al Ahli Doha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Markhiya31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Al Ahli Doha48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
1.00Expected goals
0.37Al-Markhiya xG
0.63Al Ahli Doha xG
47%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–123%
1–014%
1–19%
0–27%
1–23%
From our goals model: Al-Markhiya 0.4 – 0.6 Al Ahli Doha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Ahli Doha (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Al-Markhiya +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
Al Ahli Doha to score first
40%
2.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.33
–
Recent results
Al-Markhiya – last 6
LWWWWL
21 Sep
@ Lusail City
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Al Rayyan SC B
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Al-Gharafa B
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Al-Khor
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Al-Khor
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Muaither SC
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
LLWDLD
20 Sep
vs Al Shahaniya
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
3 Sep
vs Qatar SC
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Lusail City
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Markhiya and Al Ahli Doha.
What is the prediction for Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
On our numbers Al-Markhiya have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Ahli Doha 48%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our predicted score is Al-Markhiya 0–0 Al Ahli Doha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha (QSL Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Grand Hamad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khor0
UMM Salal2
Al Waab1
Lusail City1