Al Waab 19%Draw 20%Lusail City 61%Expected goals 0.18 – 0.82
81%
Betarazi pick
Lusail City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLusail City to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceLusail City or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗30% · fair 3.31
Al Waab vs Lusail City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusail City travel to face Al Waab on Tuesday 29 September in the QSL Cup – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT.
Current form
Al Waab, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Mesaimeer, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Lusail City, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al-Markhiya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Waab, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Lusail City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Waab 0.2 xG, Lusail City 0.8 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Waab 19%, draw 20%, Lusail City 61%.
Lower-risk option: Lusail City or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lusail City or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Waab 0–0 Lusail City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Waab19%fair 5.32 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.30
Lusail City61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
1.00Expected goals
0.18Al Waab xG
0.82Lusail City xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–130%
0–212%
1–07%
1–15%
0–33%
From our goals model: Al Waab 0.2 – 0.8 Lusail City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusail City to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lusail City or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Lusail City (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Al Waab +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
Lusail City to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
30%
3.31
–
Recent results
Al Waab – last 6
WDWWWW
22 Sep
@ Al Mesaimeer
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Qatar U23
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Al Shamal II
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Al Rayyan SC B
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Al Kharaitiyat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Bidda SC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lusail City – last 6
WDWDLL
21 Sep
vs Al-Markhiya
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Al-Gharafa
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Al Wakrah
4–0
W
28 Aug
@ Al Ahli Doha
3–3
D
20 Aug
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Waab and Lusail City.
What is the prediction for Al Waab vs Lusail City?
Our pick is Lusail City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Waab vs Lusail City?
On our numbers Al Waab have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lusail City 61%.
How many goals will there be in Al Waab vs Lusail City?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Waab vs Lusail City?
Our predicted score is Al Waab 0–0 Lusail City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Al Waab vs Lusail City?
Al Waab vs Lusail City (QSL Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khor0
UMM Salal2
Al-Markhiya1
Al Ahli Doha1