Value bet: Colón to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Fenix vs Colón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Segunda División brings Fenix against Colón at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Colón are 3rd (among the top four) with 39.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CA River Plate, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Colón, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Colón 3–3 Fenix. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fenix 0 wins, Colón 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.2 xG, Colón 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 39%, draw 25%, Colón 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Colón to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Colón36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
2.33Expected goals
1.20Fenix xG
1.13Colón xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.2 – 1.1 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Fenix vs Colón?
On our numbers Fenix have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colón 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Colón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Colón?
Fenix vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
