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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

La Luz v Atenas: numbers & prediction

La Luz

WLDLL
0–1
FT

Atenas

DWDLL
La Luz 33%Draw 24%Atenas 42% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.21
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtenas to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49

La Luz vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

La Luz welcome Atenas for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 19 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, La Luz are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Atenas are 1st (leading the league) with 44.

Current form

La Luz, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paysandu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atenas, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cerrito, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Atenas 4–0 La Luz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Luz 1.0 xG, Atenas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Luz 33%, draw 24%, Atenas 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Luz 1–1 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Luz33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Atenas42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
2.23Expected goals
1.02La Luz xG
1.21Atenas xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: La Luz 1.0 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtenas to win ✓42%2.362.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.95
Draw no betAtenas (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapLa Luz +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreAtenas to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atenas / FT Atenas ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

La Luz – last 6

WLDLLD
12 Sep@ Paysandu1–0W
4 Sepvs Sportivo Huracan1–3L
29 Aug@ Uruguay Montevideo0–0D
23 Augvs Oriental0–2L
17 Aug@ Colón1–2L
8 Aug@ Fenix0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atenas – last 6

DWDLLD
13 Sepvs Cerrito0–0D
6 Sepvs CA River Plate3–2W
3 Sepvs Penarol2–2D
29 Aug@ Paysandu0–2L
26 Aug@ Danubio2–3L
23 Augvs Sportivo Huracan0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Atenas v La Luz4–0
La Luz vs Atenas head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Luz vs Atenas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win La Luz vs Atenas?

On our numbers La Luz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 42%.

How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Atenas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Atenas?

Our predicted score is La Luz 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is La Luz vs Atenas?

La Luz vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.